Monday 30 December 2013

股海宝藏:柏年控股土地生黄金

大马股市的地产股拥有不少多年前留下的土地,现已增值多倍。但是,不少二线地产股股价却严重低估。

现在,笔者以柏年控股(BREM,8761,主板建筑股)证明之。

根据该公司1亿6854万股(不包括库存股)计算,在加总了所有土地价值后,该公司资产实值相等于每股8.32令吉!

“2012年12月,第一控股工业出售莎亚南20英亩工业地,净赚6900万令吉。”

“2013年11月,亿顺机构买雪州斯里肯邦岸(Sri Kembangan)14.4英亩商业地段,净利约1亿令吉。”

这两则新闻说明“土地生黄金”是铁一般事实。

今日,网络世界之虚拟货币比特币全球爆红,几年上上涨千倍。这种无国家央行承认与担保,单靠信心支撑的货币,其价值无中无有;参与买卖者是在赌博,不是投资。

土地就不同,它是人类必需品之一,可用以生产各类楼房工厂,属于投资性最强的资产。土地还可保值,抗通胀,其价值长期上涨,尤其是地点优越,位于大城市的地价,涨幅惊人。

大马股市的地产股拥有不少多年前留下的土地,现已增值多倍。但是,不少二线地产股股价却严重低估。现在,笔者以柏年控股证明之。

地产化为盈利推动股价
柏年控股的资产实值每股8.32令吉,但股价只有1.49令吉,即资产折扣高达82%在总资产中,地产占95%,它不但不会贬值,而且还有逐年增值潜能。

由于大马产业市场将稳健发展,何况公司地皮大部分位于产业最热卖地点的吉隆坡与巴生谷,再加上地皮成本十分廉宜,所以公司产业发展之盈利将逐年强力增长,成为推动股价上升的动力。

派送红股机率高
公司的四大核心业务即产业发展、产业投资、建筑和水供服务全都赚钱。在2014年3月财政年首二季,各业务盈利如下:
1.产业发展1821万令吉
2.产业投资213万令吉
3.建筑538万9000令吉
4.水供999万7000令吉
5.联号7万7000令吉

公司首二季净赚1881万,即每股净利11.2仙。笔者预期,全年净利保守可达每股20至22仙,则本益比6.6倍至7.3倍。

如果公司按照就派发每股6仙股息,则股息会酬率是4.11%公司拥有14亿338万令吉高素质资产,而净贷款仅4563万令吉,所以财务稳健。

至于公司未分配盈利之储备金,已高达3亿11万令吉,将来用以派送红股的机率相当高。

大胆超廉价买地赚大钱 廉价地产好股大胆买进可致富。
一人的信心,力量不大;千万人的信心加起来就是一股强大力量,大到可把比特币推高上千倍。

今日,大马股市地产股,不少在资产价值方面最强,最有增值潜能,但股价大平卖,只因为市场人士还缺乏信心。

在股市,“先知先觉赚大钱,后之后觉赚小钱,不知不觉赚不到钱。”

因此,如果长期投资买进柏年控股这类般价高度低估的地产好股,抱着以超级廉价买地皮,
做发展商的心态耐心待股,以每股1.49令吉买进资产实值每股8.32令吉、管理好、盈利佳、财务稳、股息诱人的柏年控股,问题就不是赚不赚钱,而是赚多少钱。



http://www.nanyang.com/node/589331?tid=687

Saturday 28 December 2013

The RM20b Grocery War

Sales by hypermarkets were around RM13b a year, representing a market share of 14.8% of the entire RM87.8b retail market, excluding houses and cars. The mini-market sub-sector made RM1.84b in sales while convenience stores registered a total revenue of about RM530m. (Source: Retail Group Malaysia, 2012)

Hong Kong-owned GCH Retail (M) Sdn Bhd:
Giant (127)
Cold Storage (16)
Jasons (1)
Mercato (2)

UK-based Tesco (M) Sdn Bhd (JV between Tesco (70%) and Sime Darby (30%))
Tesco (49)

Japan’s AEON Co Ltd:
AEON BIG (formerly Carrefour) (28)

Homegrown Mydin Mihamed Holdings Bhd
Mydin (11)
KR1M (113)
MyMart (8)
MyMydin (51)
Sam’s Grocer (1)

Homegrown 99 Speedmart Sdn Bhd
99 Speedmart (503)

Homegrown KK Supermarket and Superstore Sdn Bhd
KK Mart (157)

Locally owned international franchise Seven Convenience Bhd
7-Eleven (1,479)

Hypermarkets
Giant
Tesco
Mydin
AEON
BiG (formerly Carrefour)
Econsave
Pacific

Supermarkets
Cold Storage
Mercato
Village Grocer
Jaya Grocer

Convenience Stores
7-Eleven
KK Mart
Quick & Easy
Happy Mart
MyMart
Mesra
Select
Petron
Star Mart

Mini-Markets
99 Speedmart
Kedai Rakyat 1Malaysia
MyMydin
Mom-and-pop shops (50,000)

The Edge Malaysia, 30 December 2013

Sunday 15 December 2013

A slap in Najib's face, but a much heavier one in the people's face

Before GE13

Works Minister Shaziman Abu Mansor said the toll charges on the Kesas Highway were to have been raised to RM3 (for Class One vehicles) but Prime Minister Datuk Seri Najib Tun Razak decided against it because it would place a financial burden on the people.

http://www.thestar.com.my/News/Nation/2013/01/14/Kesas-toll-charges-reduced-from-midnight-Monday-Updated.aspx

After GE13
The toll rate hike next year is unavoidable as it is an express condition in the concession agreement between the government and highway concession companies, according to Minister in the Prime Minister's Department Abdul Wahid Omar.

He said the toll rate should have been revised in 2011, as stated in the concession agreement. "However, the rate was maintained, but the government had to fork out RM400 million in compensation from taxpayers' money, which could have been used for other purposes.

"And now it's time to fulfill the condition,"

He said the hike was therefore a fair measure for taxpayers, coupled with the fact that highways were alternative routes which they don't use everyday.

http://www.malaysiakini.com/news/249379

Comments:
1. See the reality before and after general election

2. The money used to compensation the concessionaires for freeze in toll rates actually come from taxpayers, not Najib's own pocket nor Barisan Nasional. 

3. It may be unfair to use public fund to subsidize the scheduled toll hikes as taxpayers who do not/ seldom use the expressway will be subsidizing those expressway users.

4. "And now it's time to fulfill the condition,". Ya. And now it's time to face the reality, paying the price for accepting election sweetener, which is a thick bitter pill thinly coated with sugar. People start to taste the bitterness after finishing consuming the thin layer of sugar.

5. "highways were alternative routes which they don't use everyday"?? More than 1 million of tollable traffic in Klang Valley daily. Do the regular and daily users of the expressways really have alternatives? One who lives in Klang and travel to work in KL city center has to pay toll expenses of RM16 per day. Do they really have a choice considering much longer time, more fuel has to be burnt, having to bear with more stress and frustration if they were to travel on toll-free roads. Do the people have choice when the public transports are so much lacking?

Saturday 7 December 2013

Kanger International Berhad

At IPO price of 25sen/share, Kanger's market cap upon listing will be RM107.5m


Kanger recorded PATAMI of RM6.369m and RM5.034m (annualised) in FY12 and FY13 respectively.

Based on the offer price of 25sen/share and market cap of RM107.5m, it will be traded at trailing PE of 16.9x (FY12) and 21.4x, whereas the china stocks listed in Bursa are traded at an average trailing PE of 2.2x (souce: Hong Leong trading platform)


Company
IPO Price (RM)
Closing price (RM)
6 Dec 13
IPO date
Xingquan International Sports Holdings Limited
1.71
0.86
Jul 09
XiDeLang Holdings Limited
0.58
0.35
Nov 09
Multi Sports Holdings Limited
0.85
0.19
Aug 09
Maxwell International Holdings Bhd
0.54
0.285
Dec 10
K-Star Sports Limited
2.15
0.12
May 10
HB Global Limited (Sozo)
0.80
0.17
Dec 10
China Stationery Limited
0.95
0.195
Feb 12
China Ouhua Winery Holdings Limited
0.60
0.075
Nov 10
China Automobile Parts Holdings Limited
0.68
0.385
Jan 13
Kanger International Berhad
0.25
?
Dec 13

Based on closing prices on 6 Dec 2013, all the China companies listed in Bursa are traded below their respective IPO price.

Will Kanger command higher PE than its countrymates and exceptionally stay above its IPO price?

Where does electricity tariff go?


Friday 6 December 2013

Bursa Malaysia Listed China Based Companies

Company
IPO Price (RM)
IPO date
Xingquan International Sports Holdings Limited
1.71
Jul 09
XiDeLang Holdings Limited
0.58
Nov 09
Multi Sports Holdings Limited
0.85
Aug 09
Maxwell International Holdings Bhd
0.54
Dec 10
K-Star Sports Limited
2.15
May 10
HB Global Limited (Sozo)
0.80
Dec 10
China Stationery Limited
0.95
Feb 12
China Ouhua Winery Holdings Limited
0.60
Nov 10
China Automobile Parts Holdings Limited
0.68
Jan 13
Kanger International Berhad
0.25
Dec 13

Monday 2 December 2013

Boilermech eyes IPPs as new area of growth

Boilermech Holdings Bhd has set its sights on IPPs as its new area of growth.

Although the company already has IPPs as its clients, Boilermech executive director Chia Lik Khai said it is looking to expand its product offering beyond selling just the boiler to the market segment.

"We have been providing some of these boiler systems piecemeal, but I think the approach now has to be more integrated"

He said Boilermech is in talks with IPPs in other countries in the region that supply power using renewable energy. It already has a few customers on board thus far on this integrated concept.

"We work more solution-based, serving customers' energy requirements, be it to maximise energy power generation or fuel cost savings"

Boilermech is still focused on the palm oil industry, which contributes more than 90% of the company's revenue.

With exports taking up half of its revenue portion, Boilermech is looking to expand its penetration within Malaysia and Indonesia; and geographical reach to other markets like the Philippines, Thailand, Central and South America, and Africa.

"We are also looking at how to increase our service and repair contribution to serve our existing customer base better, and to increase some revenue from there"

It looks to doubling the contribution to revenue from service and maintenance from just 5% currently over the next 3 years.

Moving forward, Boilermech is looking at widening its services to the palm oil industry, which is looking at more efficient and environment friendly ways to manage fuel.

"We believe the palm oil industry has the opportunity to develop a lot more potential in renewable energy generation [biomass and biogas power], and in solving environmental problems of solid waste"

Chia said the company's strategy is to bring more green technology into the palm oil milling industry to improve efficiencies and reduce environmental footprints. He noted that 3R's of reduce, reuse and recycle.

On that note, the company is looking at expanding clean energy and at new technology solutions that can ensure the sustainability of the palm oil industry in the longer term.

It is also looking to expand its coverage to other agricultural and resource-based industries.

Since 2005, Boilermech has been involved in the design, manufacture, installation and commissioning of biomass boilers. It also provides boiler repair and refurbishment services.

On average, Boilermech manufactures 8 boilers per month with a 25-tonne per hour capacity. In the next phase of growth, it looks to produce 12 boilers per month. The boilers have a lifespan of up to 25 years.

Boilermech targets a 20% growth for its revenue yoy and at least a 15% growth for its PBT.

With a current order book of RM360m, which could last the company for 1.5 years based o its current financial year's annualised revenue of RM213m, this garners the company about 60% of local market share, according to Leong.

The Edge Financial Daily, 2 December 2013